Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.012122 2.305980 2.629201 3.011332 3.451100 3.941742 4.531236
2025-08-03 1.616772 2.006102 2.470331 3.065631 3.810266 4.712945 5.893395
2025-08-10 1.289123 1.710886 2.249445 2.989667 3.984165 5.279086 7.101488
2025-08-17 1.028049 1.446290 2.013067 2.840654 4.024317 5.665515 8.130054
2025-08-24 0.867226 1.285057 1.882124 2.802507 4.195074 6.238583 9.493137
2025-08-31 0.740277 1.149176 1.761965 2.753859 4.332892 6.772252 10.870898
2025-09-07 0.676014 1.095613 1.752818 2.866073 4.724423 7.736804 13.059384
2025-09-14 0.607017 1.023157 1.701721 2.899965 4.989185 8.529078 15.081059
2025-09-21 0.537575 0.939304 1.619040 2.866215 5.129916 9.125828 16.847787
2025-09-28 0.468764 0.846644 1.508180 2.765682 5.134662 9.478466 18.216591
2025-10-05 0.445631 0.831593 1.530401 2.906132 5.595359 10.716448 21.439234
2025-10-12 0.423307 0.814720 1.546336 3.035372 6.050159 12.001957 24.950593
2025-10-19 0.397717 0.790223 1.548383 3.145437 6.498778 13.371444 28.931742
2025-10-26 0.366841 0.751380 1.517860 3.186576 6.815098 14.524683 32.665101
2025-11-02 0.326809 0.688646 1.431356 3.099024 6.846204 15.082262 35.177732
2025-11-09 0.285555 0.617905 1.319110 2.939893 6.695872 15.219136 36.740997
2025-11-16 0.259375 0.576244 1.263303 2.897898 6.804317 15.956419 39.874054
2025-11-23 0.235514 0.536614 1.206820 2.846186 6.881885 16.632481 42.975226
2025-11-30 0.226125 0.528698 1.220490 2.961501 7.379960 18.399001 49.207045
2025-12-07 0.212078 0.508046 1.202040 2.996115 7.682190 19.724503 54.507105
2025-12-14 0.195127 0.478259 1.158159 2.960962 7.799891 20.593794 58.707965
2025-12-21 0.176025 0.440810 1.091046 2.856865 7.719844 20.927381 61.442456
2025-12-28 0.171985 0.440812 1.117152 3.002026 8.339643 23.265884 70.537088